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Wenger, K.R.; Leschinski, C.H.; Sibbertsen, P.: The memory of volatility. In: Quantitative Finance and Economics 2 (2018), Nr. 1, S. 137-159. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3934/QFE.2018.1.137

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To cite the version in the repository, please use this identifier: https://doi.org/10.15488/4902

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Sum total of downloads: 73




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Abstract: 
The focus of the volatility literature on forecasting and the predominance of the conceptually simpler HAR model over long memory stochastic volatility models has led to the fact that the actual degree of memory estimates has rarely been considered. Estimates in the literature range roughly between 0.4 and 0.6 - that is from the higher stationary to the lower non-stationary region. This difference, however, has important practical implications - such as the existence or nonexistence of the fourth moment of the return distribution. Inference on the memory order is complicated by the presence of measurement error in realized volatility and the potential of spurious long memory. In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of the memory in variances of international stock indices and exchange rates. On the one hand, we find that the variance of exchange rates is subject to spurious long memory and the true memory parameter is in the higher stationary range. Stock index variances, on the other hand, are free of low frequency contaminations and the memory is in the lower non-stationary range. These results are obtained using state of the art local Whittle methods that allow consistent estimation in presence of perturbations or low frequency contaminations.
License of this version: CC BY 4.0 Unported
Document Type: Article
Publishing status: publishedVersion
Issue Date: 2018
Appears in Collections:Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät

distribution of downloads over the selected time period:

downloads by country:

pos. country downloads
total perc.
1 image of flag of Germany Germany 44 60.27%
2 image of flag of United States United States 15 20.55%
3 image of flag of China China 6 8.22%
4 image of flag of Indonesia Indonesia 2 2.74%
5 image of flag of No geo information available No geo information available 1 1.37%
6 image of flag of Taiwan Taiwan 1 1.37%
7 image of flag of Turkey Turkey 1 1.37%
8 image of flag of Italy Italy 1 1.37%
9 image of flag of Czech Republic Czech Republic 1 1.37%
10 image of flag of Belgium Belgium 1 1.37%

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