Dropping Out of Higher Education in Germany: Using Retrospective Life Course Data to Determine Dropout Rates and Destinations of Non-completers

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Tieben, N.: Dropping Out of Higher Education in Germany: Using Retrospective Life Course Data to Determine Dropout Rates and Destinations of Non-completers. In: Weinert, S; Blossfeld, G.J.; Blossfeld, H.-P. (Eds.): Education, Competence Development and Career Trajectories : Analysing Data of the National Educational Panel Study (NEPS). Cham : Springer Nature, 2023 (Methodology of Educational Measurement and Assessment), S. 225-248. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-27007-9_10

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To cite the version in the repository, please use this identifier: https://doi.org/10.15488/14915

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Abstract: 
In recent years, the high rates of higher education dropout have raised attention of education research and policy makers in Germany. However, due to data privacy legislation, it remains challenging to obtain information about the individual progress of students through higher education and the destinations of non-completers. With conventional administrative or cross-sectional data, it is not possible to distinguish non-completion from dropout, so that it mostly has to remain unclear if non-completers reach graduation elsewhere. This contribution uses the retrospective life course data of the NEPS starting cohort 6 to empirically disentangle non-completion and dropout of full-time students in higher education. We discuss the methodological challenges of conventional approaches and show how the advantages of retrospective life course data can be exploited for higher education research. We furthermore examine the destinations of non-completers and dropouts as well as the labour market returns of dropouts, using sequence data analyses and logistic regressions. Our results show that conventional designs possibly are prone to overestimate dropout rates. Longitudinal analyses of destinations after dropout reveal that the permeability between vocational training and higher education is not unidirectional. Vocational training is a relevant absorber of higher education dropouts, but at the same time, vocational qualifications that were gained prior to higher education work as safety-net that buffers labour market risks of dropouts.
License of this version: CC BY 4.0 Unported
Document Type: BookPart
Publishing status: publishedVersion
Issue Date: 2023
Appears in Collections:Philosophische Fakultät

distribution of downloads over the selected time period:

downloads by country:

pos. country downloads
total perc.
1 image of flag of Germany Germany 13 34.21%
2 image of flag of United States United States 12 31.58%
3 image of flag of United Kingdom United Kingdom 3 7.89%
4 image of flag of Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Islamic Republic of 2 5.26%
5 image of flag of China China 2 5.26%
6 image of flag of Switzerland Switzerland 2 5.26%
7 image of flag of Belgium Belgium 2 5.26%
8 image of flag of No geo information available No geo information available 1 2.63%
9 image of flag of Indonesia Indonesia 1 2.63%

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