Long Memory, Spurious Memory: Persistence in Range-Based Volatility of Exchange Rates

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Afzal, A.; Sibbertsen, P.: Long Memory, Spurious Memory: Persistence in Range-Based Volatility of Exchange Rates. In: Open Economies Review 34 (2023), S. 789-811. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11079-022-09686-2

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Sum total of downloads: 24




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Abstract: 
This study considers the long memory and fractional integration in the range-based volatilities across 30 currencies against USD. Graphical analysis of the autocorrelation function at long lags and pole near zero frequencies in the periodogram suggests the existence of fractional integration. We apply semi-parametric methods to measure long-range dependence. We find a decrease in the memory estimates with an increase in the bandwidth, which indicates the presence of spurious memory rather true long memory. The hypothesis of long memory against the alternative of spurious memory is also tested by applying the different semi-parametric methods. Empirical results confirm the presence of spurious memory that may be a result of some shocks to the volatility estimator. Furthermore, the reduced memory estimates obtained by utilising an estimator accounting for level shifts also explains the inconsistency of the Local Whittle estimator. We also estimate the number of breaks for each series.
License of this version: CC BY 4.0 Unported
Document Type: Article
Publishing status: publishedVersion
Issue Date: 2022
Appears in Collections:Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät

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pos. country downloads
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1 image of flag of United States United States 12 50.00%
2 image of flag of Germany Germany 11 45.83%
3 image of flag of Europe Europe 1 4.17%

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