Cascading Scenario Technique Enabling Automated And Situation-based Crisis Management

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Leachu, S.; Janßen, J.; Gdanitz, N.; Kirchhöfer, M.; Janzen, S.; Stich, V.: Cascading Scenario Technique Enabling Automated And Situation-based Crisis Management. In: Herberger, D.; Hübner, M.; Stich, V. (Eds.): Proceedings of the Conference on Production Systems and Logistics: CPSL 2023 - 1. Hannover : publish-Ing., 2023, S. 321-331. DOI: https://doi.org/10.15488/13451

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Sum total of downloads: 51




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Abstract: 
Crises are becoming more and more frequent. Whether natural disasters, economic crises, political events, or a pandemic - the right action mitigates the impact. The PAIRS project plans to minimize the surprise effect of these and to recommend appropriate actions based on data using artificial intelligence (AI).This paper conceptualizes a cascading model based on scenario technique, which acts as the basic approach in the project. The long-term discipline of scenario technique is integrated into the discipline of crisis management to enable short-term and continuous crises management in an automated manner. For this purpose, a practical crisis definition is given and interpreted as a process. Then, a cascading model is derived in which crises are continuously thought through using the scenario technique and three types of observations are classified: Incidents, disturbances, and crises. The presented model is exemplified within a non-technical application of a use case in the context of humanitarian logistics and the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, first technical insights from the field of AI are given in the form of a semantic description composing a knowledge graph. In summary, a conceptual model is presented to enable situation-based crisis management with automated scenario generation by combining the two disciplines of crisis management with scenario technique.
License of this version: CC BY 3.0 DE
Document Type: BookPart
Publishing status: publishedVersion
Issue Date: 2023
Appears in Collections:Proceedings CPSL 2023 - 1
Proceedings CPSL 2023 - 1

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pos. country downloads
total perc.
1 image of flag of Germany Germany 25 49.02%
2 image of flag of United States United States 12 23.53%
3 image of flag of United Kingdom United Kingdom 4 7.84%
4 image of flag of India India 3 5.88%
5 image of flag of France France 2 3.92%
6 image of flag of Indonesia Indonesia 1 1.96%
7 image of flag of Hong Kong Hong Kong 1 1.96%
8 image of flag of Ecuador Ecuador 1 1.96%
9 image of flag of Colombia Colombia 1 1.96%
10 image of flag of Canada Canada 1 1.96%

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